Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.040062 0.043595 0.047160 0.051020 0.055076 0.059206 0.063721
2025-09-21 0.034639 0.039876 0.045342 0.051449 0.058056 0.064965 0.072714
2025-09-28 0.031287 0.037839 0.044880 0.052951 0.061893 0.071442 0.082361
2025-10-05 0.027285 0.034645 0.042779 0.052333 0.063148 0.074918 0.088604
2025-10-12 0.024430 0.032441 0.041523 0.052422 0.064990 0.078887 0.095271
2025-10-19 0.022379 0.030960 0.040916 0.053090 0.067354 0.083339 0.102405
2025-10-26 0.020836 0.029937 0.040718 0.054122 0.070050 0.088104 0.109853
2025-11-02 0.018032 0.027146 0.038219 0.052265 0.069228 0.088711 0.112443
2025-11-09 0.016249 0.025503 0.037002 0.051838 0.070002 0.091095 0.117025
2025-11-16 0.014703 0.024050 0.035922 0.051490 0.070799 0.093449 0.121527
2025-11-23 0.014094 0.023796 0.036323 0.052951 0.073770 0.098371 0.129052
2025-11-30 0.013393 0.023360 0.036448 0.054032 0.076253 0.102701 0.135878
2025-12-07 0.012520 0.022654 0.036210 0.054667 0.078227 0.106485 0.142153
2025-12-14 0.011555 0.021750 0.035664 0.054871 0.079645 0.109593 0.147632
2025-12-21 0.011110 0.021576 0.036082 0.056320 0.082629 0.114621 0.155446
2025-12-28 0.009976 0.020290 0.034911 0.055623 0.082849 0.116231 0.159108
2026-01-04 0.009186 0.019470 0.034343 0.055690 0.084018 0.118994 0.164164
2026-01-11 0.008649 0.019008 0.034249 0.056373 0.085964 0.122713 0.170388
2026-01-18 0.008264 0.018763 0.034448 0.057440 0.088406 0.127055 0.177388
2026-01-25 0.007083 0.017106 0.032515 0.055507 0.086863 0.126348 0.178125
2026-02-01 0.006394 0.016225 0.031680 0.055062 0.087251 0.128057 0.181839
2026-02-08 0.005781 0.015425 0.030928 0.054700 0.087724 0.129857 0.185656
2026-02-15 0.005647 0.015486 0.031495 0.056218 0.090728 0.134904 0.193557